Insights / us
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.US04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.42%
P05–P95 span
10.17%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.78%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.82%P25: 0.09%P50: 1.42%P75: 2.90%P95: 6.35%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.