Insights / us
AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.43%
P05–P95 span
18.43%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-2.03%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
5/8(63%)
Below median
3/8(38%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.80%P25: 0.03%P50: 2.43%P75: 4.93%P95: 12.63%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 38.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.