Insights / us
AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc.US05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.46%
P05–P95 span
16.58%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+20.84%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.41%P25: -0.55%P50: 1.46%P75: 4.72%P95: 11.17%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.