Insights / us
AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc.US06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.01%
P05–P95 span
13.15%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+1.59%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.76%P25: 0.45%P50: 2.01%P75: 4.25%P95: 11.39%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.