AWK

American Water Works Company, Inc.US06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.96%

P05–P95 span

17.85%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.64

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+5

-0.54%

Outer 90%

4/5(80%)

Middle 50%

3/5(60%)

Above median

0/5(0%)

Below median

5/5(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.94%P25: -0.92%P50: 1.96%P75: 6.32%P95: 12.91%

Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.