AVAV

AeroVironment IncUS06/09/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.49%

P05–P95 span

11.54%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.77

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+1

+5.64%

Outer 90%

0/1(0%)

Middle 50%

0/1(0%)

Above median

1/1(100%)

Below median

0/1(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.02%P25: 0.05%P50: 1.49%P75: 3.52%P95: 8.52%

Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.