Insights / us
ATO
Atmos Energy CorporationUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
13.29%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-2.44%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
3/9(33%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.80%P25: -2.02%P50: -0.32%P75: 2.01%P95: 6.49%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.