Insights / us
ASND
Ascendis Pharma A/SUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.44%
P05–P95 span
25.56%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+3.99%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
1/2(50%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.38%P25: -3.41%P50: -0.44%P75: 3.02%P95: 16.18%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.