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Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.US05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.31%
P05–P95 span
11.26%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.35%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.19%P25: -1.02%P50: 0.31%P75: 1.36%P95: 5.08%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.