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Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.US05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.48%
P05–P95 span
10.21%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.04%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.77%P25: -1.87%P50: -0.48%P75: 1.03%P95: 4.44%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.