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Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.US05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.95%
P05–P95 span
13.56%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.77%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.40%P25: -4.95%P50: -1.95%P75: -0.24%P95: 3.16%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.