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Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.US04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.59%
P05–P95 span
8.95%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.69%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.78%P25: -3.37%P50: -0.59%P75: 0.54%P95: 3.17%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.