Insights / us
APTV
Aptiv PLCUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.61%
P05–P95 span
13.19%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-1.51%
Outer 90%
5/7(71%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
3/7(43%)
Below median
4/7(57%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.49%P25: -1.55%P50: 0.61%P75: 4.15%P95: 7.71%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.