APO

Apollo Global Management, Inc.US05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.03%
P05–P95 span
16.80%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.81%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.18%P25: -1.94%P50: -0.03%P75: 1.72%P95: 4.62%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.