Insights / us
APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc.US05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.52%
P05–P95 span
20.22%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.36%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.79%P25: -1.80%P50: 0.52%P75: 2.92%P95: 9.43%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.