Insights / us
APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc.US04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.57%
P05–P95 span
11.50%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.24%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.30%P25: -0.21%P50: 1.57%P75: 3.55%P95: 8.21%
Computed at: 04/17/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 39.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.