Insights / us
APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc.US04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.47%
P05–P95 span
20.24%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+18.84%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.42%P25: -5.15%P50: -2.47%P75: 0.74%P95: 9.81%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.