Insights / us
APO
Apollo Global Management, Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.40%
P05–P95 span
17.43%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+19.13%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.81%P25: -3.94%P50: -0.40%P75: 1.90%P95: 6.62%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 22.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.