APD

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.71%

P05–P95 span

16.16%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.68

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+6

-0.08%

Outer 90%

6/6(100%)

Middle 50%

5/6(83%)

Above median

3/6(50%)

Below median

3/6(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.73%P25: -1.70%P50: 0.71%P75: 3.25%P95: 8.44%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.