APD

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.US04/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.07%

P05–P95 span

15.65%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.69

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+3.90%

Outer 90%

7/10(70%)

Middle 50%

4/10(40%)

Above median

10/10(100%)

Below median

0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.89%P25: -1.82%P50: 0.07%P75: 2.42%P95: 8.76%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 19.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.