Insights / us
AOS
A. O. Smith CorporationUS06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.47%
P05–P95 span
14.87%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+0.22%
Outer 90%
1/1(100%)
Middle 50%
1/1(100%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.31%P25: -2.11%P50: 0.47%P75: 4.30%P95: 10.56%
Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.