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Arista Networks IncUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.02%
P05–P95 span
12.64%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-8.38%
Outer 90%
2/7(29%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.02%P25: -3.48%P50: -1.02%P75: 1.88%P95: 5.62%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.