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Arista Networks IncUS05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.04%
P05–P95 span
17.03%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.86%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.96%P25: -4.00%P50: -1.04%P75: 0.94%P95: 5.06%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.