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Arista Networks IncUS05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.88%
P05–P95 span
10.70%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+22.59%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.01%P25: -0.71%P50: 0.88%P75: 2.63%P95: 6.69%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 16.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.