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Arista Networks IncUS04/29/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.54%
P05–P95 span
15.10%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.07%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.35%P25: -0.32%P50: 1.54%P75: 3.87%P95: 9.76%

Computed at: 04/30/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.