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Arista Networks IncUS04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.44%
P05–P95 span
10.00%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.34%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.91%P25: -0.13%P50: 1.44%P75: 3.16%P95: 7.09%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 34.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.