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Arista Networks IncUS04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.01%
P05–P95 span
21.61%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+35.21%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.18%P25: -0.35%P50: 1.01%P75: 3.28%P95: 19.43%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.