Insights / us
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+3.59%
P05–P95 span
19.90%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-6.09%
Outer 90%
1/7(14%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.33%P25: 0.13%P50: 3.59%P75: 9.55%P95: 15.57%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.