Insights / us
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.US05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.11%
P05–P95 span
15.49%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.58%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.99%P25: -2.24%P50: -0.11%P75: 1.58%P95: 5.50%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.