AMP

Ameriprise Financial, Inc.US06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.30%
P05–P95 span
10.14%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-0.78%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
2/3(67%)
Above median
2/3(67%)
Below median
1/3(33%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.08%P25: -3.83%P50: -1.30%P75: 0.19%P95: 3.06%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.