AMP

Ameriprise Financial, Inc.US05/26/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.22%
P05–P95 span
11.64%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.84%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.63%P25: -1.55%P50: -0.22%P75: 1.26%P95: 6.01%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.