Insights / us
AME
AMETEK, Inc.US05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.56%
P05–P95 span
10.86%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.52%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.61%P25: -2.49%P50: -0.56%P75: 1.01%P95: 4.25%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.