Insights / us
AME
AMETEK, Inc.US04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.44%
P05–P95 span
8.98%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.19%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.97%P25: -0.76%P50: 0.44%P75: 2.15%P95: 6.02%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.