Insights / us
AMCR
Amcor plcUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.85%
P05–P95 span
14.03%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+4.33%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
2/6(33%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.11%P25: -1.11%P50: 0.85%P75: 3.42%P95: 7.92%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.