Insights / us
AMCR
Amcor plcUS05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.06%
P05–P95 span
17.01%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.40%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.67%P25: -1.56%P50: 0.06%P75: 2.18%P95: 12.34%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.