ALL

The Allstate CorporationUS06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.82%

P05–P95 span

13.66%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.73

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+7

+5.55%

Outer 90%

3/7(43%)

Middle 50%

0/7(0%)

Above median

7/7(100%)

Below median

0/7(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.53%P25: -3.09%P50: -0.82%P75: 1.45%P95: 5.13%

Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.