Insights / us
ALGN
Align Technology, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+3.57%
P05–P95 span
25.39%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+3.97%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
4/7(57%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.50%P25: -0.82%P50: 3.57%P75: 8.32%P95: 16.90%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.