Insights / us
ALGN
Align Technology, Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.71%
P05–P95 span
9.68%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.76%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.28%P25: -1.05%P50: 0.71%P75: 2.77%P95: 5.41%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.