Insights / us
ALAB
Astera Labs IncUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.26%
P05–P95 span
16.84%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+5.58%
Outer 90%
3/5(60%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.10%P25: -0.41%P50: 1.26%P75: 3.72%P95: 13.74%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.