AIG

American International Group, Inc.US06/09/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.68%

P05–P95 span

16.51%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.67

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+1

+1.89%

Outer 90%

1/1(100%)

Middle 50%

0/1(0%)

Above median

1/1(100%)

Below median

0/1(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.63%P25: -1.93%P50: 0.68%P75: 3.06%P95: 8.89%

Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.