AIG

American International Group, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.13%

P05–P95 span

13.16%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.74

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+9

+1.06%

Outer 90%

9/9(100%)

Middle 50%

7/9(78%)

Above median

1/9(11%)

Below median

8/9(89%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.52%P25: -1.65%P50: -0.13%P75: 2.18%P95: 5.64%

Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.