AFRM

Affirm Holdings IncUS06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.65%

P05–P95 span

14.18%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.72

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+3

+3.87%

Outer 90%

3/3(100%)

Middle 50%

0/3(0%)

Above median

2/3(67%)

Below median

1/3(33%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.21%P25: -1.72%P50: 0.65%P75: 2.53%P95: 5.97%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.