Insights / us
AFL
Aflac IncorporatedUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.65%
P05–P95 span
13.09%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-0.74%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
2/3(67%)
Above median
2/3(67%)
Below median
1/3(33%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.70%P25: -4.89%P50: -1.65%P75: 0.27%P95: 3.39%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 36.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.