Insights / us
AFL
Aflac IncorporatedUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.54%
P05–P95 span
9.94%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+3.47%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
5/9(56%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.84%P25: -0.91%P50: 0.54%P75: 2.28%P95: 6.10%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.