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AES
The AES CorporationUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.92%
P05–P95 span
23.67%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.53
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-0.17%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.05%P25: 0.34%P50: 2.92%P75: 6.03%P95: 20.62%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.