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AES
The AES CorporationUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.11%
P05–P95 span
13.31%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-0.14%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
6/6(100%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.57%P25: -1.79%P50: 0.11%P75: 2.10%P95: 7.74%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.