AEP

American Electric Power Company, Inc.US05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.36%

P05–P95 span

19.04%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.62

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+0.16%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

5/10(50%)

Above median

2/10(20%)

Below median

8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.07%P25: -0.64%P50: 1.36%P75: 4.15%P95: 9.96%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.