Insights / us
AEP
American Electric Power Company, Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.37%
P05–P95 span
10.81%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.62%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.12%P25: -1.09%P50: 0.37%P75: 1.66%P95: 5.69%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.