Insights / us
ADSK
Autodesk, Inc.US04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.15%
P05–P95 span
12.75%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.33%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.64%P25: -3.54%P50: -1.15%P75: 0.66%P95: 5.11%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 37.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.