Insights / us
ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.US06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.24%
P05–P95 span
12.08%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
-2.18%
Outer 90%
0/1(0%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
0/1(0%)
Below median
1/1(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.94%P25: -0.46%P50: 1.24%P75: 3.80%P95: 7.14%
Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.